Yeah in my jungling route I generally use it when the golem is at 40% and when the lizard is at 30%, it's not a killing blow but it is nearly one. I've gotten use to doing it like this and it times out perfectly for when I go to the next buff. But if I'm going wraiths first then obviously I use it on the blue one instantly. I don't really have logic behind it I guess it might be preference?
I actually wait till it is actually BELOW the damage smite does most of the time. I cannot tell you how many times it has been stolen because i used it early. Plus, if you get ganked while ur jungling and you already used smite, then ur ****ed cuz even if you get away, you didnt get a buff, and probably gave it to the other team. fuuuuuu
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My reasoning:
1. The sooner you use it, the sooner you can use it again.
2. You get gold just from using it, not from scoring a kill from it.
Maybe there is something I'm missing but when I jungle I smite ASAP in order to get it again faster.