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My Victorious Skin Predictions for S10 Patch 10.20

Wicked Cherry's Tier List Wicked Cherry's Tier List
Last updated on October 6, 2020
36827 77
30 Votes
1

Support

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2

Bot

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3

hottest guesses

this is my personal view of probability

4

Winner

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1
Doody_tco (23) | October 15, 2020 12:42am
I wish I can see a victorious skin for Miss Fortune... I don't like Miss Fortune skins in general, so, I really hope that they'll do a great skin for her, I'll play Ranked just for Victorious Miss Fortune
Victorious Lulu will be professionally cute xD
I hope your predictions will be right, I doubt that for Soraka since she is just getting a prestige skin...
1
Eveevii | September 16, 2020 5:42am
The discussion is kinda inactive but I think it's going to be Bard, since he was highly present in pro-play and in solo/duo.

Personally I'd love to see the Caitlyn victorious skin (Cait main heheeeh) but sadly I think her meta was after the choose of the victorious skin (but I keep hoping). Also my guesses would be Miss Fortune or Lucian.

Sona was never played in pro-play (except of the Lux/Sona meta but this one didn't last long enough/ also was too late I think). In general she is just a low elo solo queue champ in my opinion. Nami is also too solo queue based and not present in pro-play ( 2 games on 50% wr).

Lucian / Lulu is a good guess, since they are popular champs in solo queue and pro-play that got an high presence this season. Soraka could it be as well but I'll just go on instinct and beg that it won't be her, because she is going to have a prestige skin soon.

And maybe some general information about the criteria that riot has for the victorious skins:

Quoted:
Once we have some ideas for potential champions, we narrow down that list by eliminating champions who:
- Already have a Victorious, Championship, or Conqueror skin. We wouldn’t do Conqueror and Victorious Karma in the same year, or Victorious Elise 2.0.
-Play the same role as a recent Victorious Skin. Since we had a top laner last season, we tried to avoid picking a top laner again this year.
-Have another skin coming out soon. We try to spread out skin content across our whole champion pool rather than drop a bunch of skins for one champ at the same time.
-Have a very small number of skins. Since the Victorious Skin can’t be attained by everyone, we don’t want that to feel like the only skin your favorite champ gets.
-Have a big balance change incoming. This is definitely the hardest criteria to figure out because balance can be fluid and we’re trying to predict the state of the game six months or so in advance.


(Quoted from ask Riot: VICTORIOUS SKINS & MORE)


Conclusion: I guess it's going to be Bard / Caitlyn / Lucian / Lulu or possibly Miss Fortune
1
Wicked Cherry (159) | October 6, 2020 2:42am
Hey Eveevii,
I'm sorry for the late reply and it somewhat feels a bit bad to reply now since we already know it's gonna be Lucian. But you've put quite a bit of effort into your comment so it would be worse to not answer at all.

I think that Caitlyn definitely could have gotten the Victorious skin as well since we've seen a few buffs and nerfs throughout the season. But apparently Lucian was in a worse state and still made it to be played again in higher elo.
Since I'm a support main, I obviously really wanted to see a support receive a Victorious skin again but maybe next season. That might have biased my tier list quite a bit there. xD
1
Fruxo (300) | August 31, 2020 8:16am
Considering Soraka is getting a prestige skin very soon, I would doubt she's going to get a victorious skin, same kinda applies to Caitlyn and Lucian as well. Nami could be something though, I wonder how that would look.
1
Wicked Cherry (159) | October 6, 2020 2:46am
Hey Fruxo,
sorry for the very late reply.
Since we already know it's gonna be Lucian, we also know that a Prestige skin isn't taken into account for receiving a Victorious skin which is a new and interesting information we gained there, if you're asking me. He definitely earned it though since he's been constantly nerfed and buffed throughout the entire season.
Are you happy with that choice though? I'd be quite interested in finding out about your personal opinion. :)

Cheers, Wicked Cherry.
1
Fruxo (300) | October 6, 2020 3:00am
If I were to go by personal opinion then I would of loved Caitlyn more with the victorious skin since I play her more or just any of the other champions that I play. But nevertheless Lucian will be fine I think.
1
Eccentricks (5) | August 31, 2020 8:13am
Personally I'd hate any of these champs (besides Lulu) to get a victorious skin, but they are the most likely, sadly.
1
Aza2 | August 28, 2020 3:19pm
But doesn't Ezreal get a prestige skin in September that will be available until Oktober, just a few weeks before the Victorious tease? Aatrox got his prestige skin much earlier in January 2019 and it was created before the Victorious skin decision. As far as I understand, the Victorious champion has already been chosen in the first half of the year.

Ask Riot! 2017: "We start looking at options for the Victorious Skin in the Spring. Making any skin takes time, but the Victorious Skin is also teased one month before it’s released. With this in mind, we need to plan ahead for the Victorious skin, especially in comparison to a normal skin." "Have another skin coming out soon. We try to spread out skin content across our whole champion pool rather than drop a bunch of skins for one champ at the same time."
1
Wicked Cherry (159) | August 30, 2020 11:29am
Hey Aza2,
thank you for your comment. Your point is quite right. I didn't really consider the Prestige skins. My bad! I'll fix that immediately. Furthermore, I'll also kick Aphelios because he's a very new champion and I remember them stating that they won't give or try not to create Victorious skins for champions with a rather low skin pool.

Thank you again for your comment! Do you happen to have any guesses on who's gonna get the skin this season? :)
1
CaptainIano | August 24, 2020 12:06pm
It'll most likely be an ADC, As all the other roles have had 2 victorious skins, and ADC only has Sivir. Aphelios and Ezreal have had nearly 100% presence in pro play, Caitlyn is another viable option.
1
Wicked Cherry (159) | August 30, 2020 11:26am
Hey CaptainIano,
I wonder who you figure to be the second support though? Because in my opinion - and please feel free to correct me if I'm wrong -, Maokai is a top laner, Graves used to be jungle back in season 7, Orianna is a mid laner and Aatrox is a top laner as well. I'm not sure why or if they broke that pattern of giving one skin per role in a complete set of 5 seasons or whether Aatrox or Maokai were counted for the bottom lane. o.o What are your ideas on that?
1
BigNoseAndrew | August 8, 2020 6:42am
Nautilus can't be this season's Victorious pick since he is the one getting the Conqueror skin this year.
1
Wicked Cherry (159) | August 9, 2020 11:31am
Hey BigNoseAndrew,
thank you for your comment! You are absolutely right. That detail must have slipped my mind when I added Nautilus! I will kick him off this list. :) Thanks for pointing that out!
But do you maybe have any other predictions?

Cheers, Wicked Cherry.
1
shuwu | June 16, 2020 6:06pm
Ok but most of the champs listed here do not have competitive play presence. As someone who watches a lot of pro play, it'll be a popular pick in both pro play and solo queue. If its gonna be a marksman, Id say Ezreal, Mf, or Aphelios. If its a support it'll be something like senna or a cc champ like naut. But since they hate adcs in 2020 it'll probably be another lux skin /s.
1
Wicked Cherry (159) | June 17, 2020 6:01am
Hey shuwu,
thank you so much for sharing your opinion! You actually caught me there, I don't really watch pro play (anymore) because I don't have much time to do so. I will add Ezreal, Miss Fortune and Aphelios along with Nautilus to the list. Senna is somewhat popular but she got quite some skins recently so I wonder if they'd actually give her another one.. And if it's a Lux skin... well let's not talk about that. xD But I don't think it will be since she got two legendaries recently and I don't see her being played a lot. In general they just give her skins because there's apparently many who like playing her and are willing to buy skins. Got a few my own (guilty).

Anyway, thanks for sharing your knowledge and opinions!
Cheers, Wicked Cherry.
1
lemonbellflower (22) | June 13, 2020 11:38am
I would loooove a Victorious skin for any of these champs. (Not that I'm in the running for one this year, but...) Especially a Caitlyn or Draven, I think a victorious for either of them would be SO on point! They all are, but, hey.
2
Wicked Cherry (159) | June 14, 2020 12:37pm
Hey lemonbellflower,
glad to read from you again. :]
I'm happy you're agreeing with my assumptions. I'd totally love to see a Victorious Sona or Caitlyn even tho I'm more of a Nami/Janna main right now. But it would be sooo amazing. *-* But we'll have to wait some more months to know who's gonna get it. What if your favorite champion were to get the Victorious skin tho? Still not going for it?

Anyway, thanks for your comment. ♥
Cheers, Wicked Cherry.
1
lemonbellflower (22) | June 15, 2020 6:59am
I would probably cry if Jinx or Yuumi got it. I still can't even access ranked yet (I'm over level 30, but need like, three more champions to unlock it), and with how not-pro I am at the game and how many folks are better than I am, I just don't feel like I have a shot, not at gold anyway. I think I'd even be a little down if it was Sona. Regardless, though, I'm still really excited to see who gets it and how it'll look!
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1
Zhin | May 2, 2020 9:05am
I'm pretty sure its going to be ADC. I have seen more Caitlyn than Draven, so in my opinion, Caitlyn will get the victorious skin.
1
Wicked Cherry (159) | May 2, 2020 11:38am
Hey Zhin,
I honestly hope so much, that a bot laner ( support or marksman ) will get the Victorious skin this season. It's been soooo long since they got one (last one was Sivir and before Janna for support . In other words, I think it would only be fair if the skin went to either of the two roles.

You're right about Caitlyn being played more frequently than Draven, but I think it's not only about the frequency a champion is played. There's many different factors that will contribute into Riot picking an "appropriate" champion, or so they stated at least. In the end there's still more than a hundred different choices and possibilities. But as I've said, it'd only be fair if it was an ADC or a support champion who's gonna get it this season.

Thanks for your comment. :] I will add Caitlyn to the list.
Cheers, Wicked Cherry.
1
ZachDoodlez7 (8) | March 3, 2020 6:22pm
I remember seeing someone predicted Victorius Draven last season if it wasn't Aatrox
1
Wicked Cherry (159) | March 4, 2020 4:17am
Hey ZachDoodlez,

Well usually Riot had a thing for balance: 5 seasons = 5 victorious skins, 1 for each role you can play.
But with the last season 9, they broke that kind of "balance". It was quite crazy and surprising for many people (at least to those that I talked to) when the Victorious Aatrox was revealed. Do you know their reasons why Aatrox got it? In order to the "balance" it would've been fairer if a support or ADC had gotten the skin.

Cheers, Wicked Cherry.
2
hadbre (12) | August 20, 2019 1:45am
Yeah, in case of adc getting it, i think it will be Draven.
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